Political Programs


April 27, 2006

A BRIEF LOOK AT CONTESTED OHIO HOUSE PRIMARIES

Having reviewed the contested congressional and Ohio Senate primaries in the previous two issues of The Political Edge, we now turn our attention to the Ohio House contests:

House District 4 (Democrats) ­ The Democratic primary features a study in contrasts: Simeon Talley (D-Bluffton), a 22-year old Bluffton University senior originally from Columbus against Dennis Shreefer (D-Lima), grandfather of two and a former radio talk show host who’s been in Lima for more than a decade.  The edge goes to Shreefer, who has better name recognition from having hosted the “Topical Heat Wave” talk show on WIMA in Lima.  Whoever wins will have his work cut out for him against Matt Huffman (R-Lima) in November, as the last time a Democrat from Allen County served in the Ohio House was in 1934.

House District 5 (Republicans) ­ Though three Republicans are seeking to succeed Rep. Tim Schaffer (R-Lancaster) in this heavily Republican district, the race really boils down to a contest between Kyle Farmer (R-Baltimore) and Jerry Stebelton (R-Lancaster).  Stebelton is the managing partner of his own Lancaster law firm, where he concentrates on personal injury, wrongful death, business litigation, and domestic relations cases.  He is a former Lancaster councilman and school board member who should do well in the county seat, where upwards of 45% of the primary ballots will likely be cast.  In part because he loaned his campaign nearly half of the $36,000 he’s raised to date, Stebelton will be able to out-spend Farmer by about 3 ý-to-1.  Farmer, a social studies teacher at the Fairfield Career Center making his first bid for office, is attempting to offset Stebelton’s financial advantage by mounting an aggressive door-to-door, get-out-the-vote campaign.  He also should ­ and needs to, if he’s going to win ­ run stronger than Stebelton in the growing northern part of the county: Baltimore, Pickerington, and Bloom, Liberty and Violet Townships.  Doug Leith (R-Pleasantville), an auctioneer and former member of the Liberty Union-Thurston School Board, is the third GOP candidate.

House District 6 (Democrats) ­ Jeff Bretz (D-North Baltimore) and James Neu (D-Perrysburg) are squaring off for the right to oppose Rep. Bob Latta (R-Bowling Green) in November.  Bretz served 11 years on the North Baltimore Village Council and has the official endorsement of the Wood County Democratic Party.

House District 8 (Democrats) ­ With incumbent Rep. Lance Mason (D-Shaker Heights) opting to run for the Senate rather than re-election to the House, four candidates are seeking to replace him: Armond Budish (D-Beachwood), an elder law attorney who has a syndicated column that appears in both the Cleveland Plain Dealer and the Columbus Dispatch; Thaddeus Jackson (D-Bedford Heights), a high school teacher in Cleveland; Marcia McCoy (D-Cleveland), a former political director for the Cleveland AFL-CIO; and Isaac Powell (D-Shaker Heights), who works for the Orange City Schools, has been active in the leadership of the Ohio Association of Public School Employees, and has run for office three times previously, most recently losing a 2005 bid for Shaker Heights Council.  Budish is the favorite based on his prolific fundraising alone.  In addition to a $190,000 personal loan Budish made to his campaign, he’s also raised about $165,000 and had over $294,000 on-hand as of the April 12 pre-primary filing deadline; none of the other three candidates raised enough to even be required to file a campaign finance report.

House District 9 (Democrats) ­ Another set of contrasting candidates.  One is former Rep. Barbara Boyd (D-Cleveland Heights), who was forced out of office due to term limits six years ago and is now attempting a comeback.  The other is first-time candidate Julian Rogers (D-Cleveland Heights), a former senior assistant to Cleveland Public Schools CEO Barbara Byrd-Bennett.  Rogers has the backing of numerous prominent Cleveland-area Democrats, including Cong. Stephanie Tubbs-Jones, Senate Minority Leader C.J. Prentiss, Sen. Eric Fingerhut, and others, and has raised about three times as much money as has Boyd.  However, Boyd, who is now employed by the Children’s Defense Fund, has the backing of Cuyahoga County Commissioner Peter Lawson Jones and the name recognition built from four previous successful campaigns.  Expect a close contest.

House District 10 (Democrats) ­ Seven ­ that’s right, seven! ­ candidates are running to replace term-limited Rep. Shirley Smith (D-Cleveland).  With so many candidates and no clear frontrunner, the race is difficult to handicap.  The candidates are: Nelson Cintron (D-Cleveland), Marilyn Bagley (D-Cleveland), Ronnie Jones (D-Cleveland), Bill Newsome (D-Cleveland), Freddie Moore (D-Cleveland), Eugene Miller (D-Cleveland), and Jocelyn Travis (D-Cleveland).

House District 11 (Democrats) ­ Another crowded field of candidates, but an easier contest to assess.  The favorite is Sandra Williams (D-Cleveland), a former legislative aide to outgoing Rep. Annie Key (D-Cleveland).  Williams fell just short of getting the necessary votes to secure the Cuyahoga County Democratic Party endorsement, but does have the support of the Ohio Legislative Black Caucus and the Ohio AFL-CIO.  Of the five other candidates seeking the party’s nomination, her closest competition is coming from T.J. Dow (D-Cleveland), an assistant Cuyahoga County prosecutor.  Dow challenged Key in the primary in both 2002 and 2004, capturing 25% of the vote two years ago and 32% two years prior.  Also in the race are the Rev. Stephen Sullivan (D-Cleveland), a former member of the Cleveland School Board, Mamie Mitchell (D-Cleveland), Cleo Busby (D-Cleveland), and Marcella King Piazza (D-Cleveland).

House District 13 (Democrats) ­ Rep. Mike Skindell (D-Lakewood) faces a token challenge from homemaker Ben Perry (D-Lakewood).

House District 14 (Democrats) ­ This seat has been vacant since Dale Miller (D-Cleveland) was appointed to the Senate in late February, as House Democrats opted to let the voters decide who should replace him in the House.  Three candidates are on the ballot.  The caucus was split between Mike Foley (D-Cleveland) and former Rep. Erin Sullivan Lally (D-Cleveland).  These two candidates are now locked in a tight race for the nomination and, ultimately, the appointment.  Foley, an attorney and executive director of the Cleveland Tenants Organization, is much more liberal than is Sullivan and has endorsements from, among others, the Service Employees International Union, the Communications Workers of America, Cong, Dennis Kucinich, Cleveland Mayor Frank Jackson, and Rep. Mike Skindell.  Sullivan represented the 18th House district from 1999-2002, and parts of that district are now in the 14th district.  Former House Minority Leader and current Ohio Democratic Party Chairman Chris Redfern and former House Minority Leader and current Parma Mayor Dean DePiero are supporting her.  The other candidate is Bill Ritter (D-Cleveland), a public school history teacher.  He had the endorsement of the United Auto Workers, but it was recently pulled following a flap over a letter he wrote in which he criticized Foley for his support of gay marriage.

House District 18 (Democrats) ­ Two familiar names are doing battle for the right to challenge incumbent Rep. Tom Patton (R-Strongsville).  Former Congressman and Ohio House member Ron Mottl (D-North Royalton) is seeking a return to Columbus after an absence of nearly a decade.  He is opposed by John Celebrezze (D-North Royalton), a retired educator seeking office for the first time.  Celebrezze is clearly the preferred choice of organized labor and of many prominent local Democrats.  His uncle was Anthony Celebrezze, a former Cleveland mayor, and many other Celebrezzes have sought or served in public office.  Either candidate could make things interesting for Patton in the General Election in this swing district.

House District 20 (Democrats) ­ Vying for the right to oppose Rep. Jim McGregor (R-Gahanna) in November are Beverly Campbell (D-Gahanna) and Ed Nyhan (D-Bexley).  Campbell is a retired trial attorney currently working as a financial advisor.  Nyhan is a retired information systems manager who ran unsuccessfully for Bexley mayor in 2003.  There are probably too many other opportunities for Democrats in Franklin County in 2006 for McGregor to become a top Democratic target, no matter who wins the primary.

House District 21 (Democrats) ­ Given the number of Democrat candidates running in some of the other Franklin County districts, it’s somewhat surprising that only two candidates are running for the party’s nomination in this open seat contest in a district that, at best, is marginally Republican.  Rep. Linda Reidelbach (R-Worthington) is retiring.  Both Jean Herendeen-Ackerman (D-Powell), a public school teacher, and Dean Hernandez (D-Westerville), the director of investment operations for a Dublin financial firm, are first-time candidates.  The winner will meet Blendon Township Trustee Kevin Bacon (R-Columbus), an executive with Farmers Insurance.

House District 22 (Democrats) ­ Two years ago, Rep. Jim Hughes (R-Columbus) won re-election to a third term by beating commercial realtor Brian McCann (D-Columbus) with over 60% of the vote.  This year, McCann is hoping for another shot against Hughes, but he’ll have to defeat three other Democrats to get it.  The candidate that would probably give Hughes the stiffest test is John Carney (D-Columbus), an associate at the law firm Porter Wright who focuses on health care law issues.  Carney has raised nearly four times as much money as his three opponents have combined.  However, as a first-time candidate facing two candidates with better name recognition ­ McCann from his previous run and Jimmy Stewart (D-Columbus) ­ he’ll need to take advantage of his financial advantage to even get the chance to face Hughes.  Stewart is a computer software designer.  Jan Fleming (D-Columbus), a former bank vice president who currently teaches middle school, rounds out the field.

House District 24 (Democrats) ­ Two years ago, there wasn’t even a Democrat on the ballot to face Rep. Geoff Smith (R-Upper Arlington).  This year, there are four hoping to earn the right to run against him.  The difference reflects the current political landscape and the fact that John Kerry beat George Bush in the 2004 presidential election in this district by 51%-48%.  Once reliably Republican, the 24th is now evolving into a swing district.  Of the four Democrats, real estate broker Ted Celeste (D-Columbus) is the clear favorite.  The unsuccessful 2000 U.S. Senate candidate and brother of former Gov. Dick Celeste could make this a competitive General Election contest.  He’ll first have to get by James Agler (D-Hilliard), firefighter Chris Courtney (D-Hilliard), and T.J. Johnson (D-Hilliard).

House District 26 (Democrats) ­ Apparently, turnabout is fair play.  If not fair, at least it shouldn’t come as a surprise.  After knocking off then-Rep. Larry Price (D-Columbus) in the primary two years ago, Rep. Mike Mitchell (D-Columbus) is locked in a tight battle to try to hold the seat for another term.  Despite being the incumbent this time around, Mitchell did not receive the endorsement of the Franklin County Democratic Party ­ a snub perhaps in retribution for ousting Price.  Mitchell’s chief rival this year is Tracy Heard (D-Columbus).  Heard, the daughter-in-law of former Columbus School Board member Loretta Heard, runs her own public relations/political strategy firm.  Clarence Glover (D-Columbus) is also in the race.

House District 32 (Democrats) ­ Eve Bolton (D-Cincinnati), a teacher and former Hamilton County Recorder, is looking to score an upset of frontrunner Dale Mallory (D-Cincinnati).  Mallory is the brother of Cincinnati Mayor Mark Mallory and a retired GE employee.  He has been plagued by fallout from a local controversy that resulted in his being impeached as president of the West End Community Council.  Also in the race are Yvette Barbara Baldwin (D-Cincinnati) and Eric Wilson (D-Cincinnati).

House District 41 (Republicans) ­ Can a celebrity who is a first-time candidate prevail over a two-term councilman from the district’s largest city?  We’ll find out in this GOP primary that pits former Ohio State and NFL linebacker Tom Cousineau (R-Akron) against Twinsburg Councilman Steve Murphy (R-Twinsburg).  Conventional wisdom is that Murphy may be too conservative for this swing district, and that Republicans would have a better shot if Cousineau is their standard-bearer against freshman Rep. Brian Williams (D-Akron) in the fall.

House District 42 (Democrats) ­ His wife couldn’t beat incumbent Rep. John Widowfield (R-Cuyahoga Falls) in 2004, so Paul Colavecchio (D-Cuyahoga Falls) is hoping he’ll have better luck this year.  But, despite the fact he may benefit from some residual name recognition, he’s the underdog against first-time candidate Adam Van Ho (D-Hudson).  Van Ho is an assistant Summit County prosecutor.

House District 43 (Democrats) ­ In an effort to win a seat that, despite it’s Democratic leanings, Republicans have held since 1994, the party is looking to Steve Dyer (D-Tallmadge).  The former Akron Beacon Journal reporter who is currently an attorney in the Summit County Executive’s office should prevail over fellow first-time candidate Chris Stoll (D-Akron), a computer analyst and Iraq war veteran.

House District 44 (Democrats) ­ This solid Democratic district has been represented by a Sykes since 1983 ­ and that’s not likely to change in 2006.  Despite a spirited primary challenge by Patrick Bravo (D-Akron), former Rep. Vernon Sykes (D-Akron) looks to be on track for a return to Columbus.  Presently an assistant professor at the University of Akron, Sykes would succeed his wife, incumbent Rep. Barbara Sykes (D-Akron), who succeeded him when he was forced out by term limits in 2000.

House District 57 (Democrats) ­ The candidate Democrats believe can oust Rep. Earl Martin (R-Avon Lake) in this very competitive district is Matt Lundy (D-Elyria).  Ironically, Martin actually replaced Lundy on Avon Lake council when Lundy left the state in 1995.  Lundy is now an assistant safety service director for the city of Elyria.  His primary opponent is small business owner Alan Caruso (D-North Ridgeville).

House District 58 (Republicans) ­ Two Republicans are vying for the GOP nomination in the district open as a result of Rep. Kathy Reed’s (R-Norwalk) decision not to seek re-election.  Dan White (R-Norwalk), the retired CEO of Geotrac (now LSI Flood Services), has significantly outraised his opponent, Amherst Councilman Nick Brusky (R-Amherst), and should win the primary.

House District 60 (Democrats) ­ Because of his nearly universal name recognition and strong support from organized labor, Sen. Bob Hagan (D-Youngstown) is the favorite in this six-way Democratic primary to succeed term-limited Rep. Sylvester Patton (D-Youngstown).  But some vulnerabilities were exposed when Hagan lost last year’s race for mayor of Youngstown, and three other candidates ­ each with a base of support ­ are making certain he can’t take anything for granted.  Rufus Hudson (D-Youngstown) is a Youngstown councilman and the only African-American in a district that is one-third black.  Richard Gozur (D-Campbell) is a high school principal and the only candidate from Campbell, while Dan Yemma (D-Struthers) is a Struthers councilman and the only candidate from Struthers.  Mike Latessa (D-Youngstown) and Ian Stublarec (D-Youngstown) are also seeking the nomination.  Whoever wins is assured of election in November, as no Republican filed to run.

House District 61 (Republicans) ­ Both former Stark County Auditor Brant Luther (R-Alliance) and perennial candidate Randy Pope (R-Alliance) hope to return this swing seat, which has been held by Rep. John Boccieri (D-New Middletown) for the past six years, to GOP control.  Both are former Alliance City Council members.  Luther is currently a staff attorney for the Stark County Probate Court.  Pope, a Longaberger laborer, ran unsuccessfully against Boccieri in both 2002 and 2004, drawing 39% of the vote in ’02 and just 34% two years ago.  Because of his poor showings against Boccieri, Columbus Republicans believe Luther would be a stronger General Election candidate, and he has the support of Cong. Ralph Regula and other local GOP leaders.  On the other hand, Pope’s previous campaigns provide him with a name recognition advantage in the GOP primary.  Luther is counting on his 4-to-1 fundraising lead to help him overcome this deficit.

House District 62 (Republicans) ­ Greg Schmidt (R-Willoughby), who failed to capture the GOP nomination two years ago, is back for another try and is the favorite this time around.  The HR consultant faces Jason Andrzejewski (R-Eastlake), a first-time candidate.

House District 67 (Republicans) ­ Four names will appear on the ballot, though only three are actively campaigning.  Shannon Jones (R-Springboro) is hoping to make the conversion from campaign activist ­ she has run several congressional campaigns for GOP candidates in southwestern Ohio ­ to candidate, and has most of the Warren County GOP leadership supporting her bid.  Keith Nixon (R-Lebanon), an attorney, is hoping to follow in the footsteps of his grandfather, the late former House Minority Leader Corwin Nixon.  John Meyer (R-Mason), a small business owner, is hoping for a miracle.  Jones and Nixon are locked in close, expensive contest to succeed outgoing Rep. Tom Raga (R-Mason).

House District 72 (Democrats) ­ The order of finish in this three-way Democratic primary is fairly predictable: Dale Henry (D-Springfield) will win, followed by Kevin O’Neill and Richard Spangler (D-Springfield).  Henry is a former Springfield mayor and city commission member who ran twice previously for the Ohio General Assembly, most recently in 2000.  He is a former General Motors autoworker and has strong support from organized labor.  O’Neill is a real estate developer and small business owner who is also a former Springfield mayor.  He has been a Springfield City Commissioner since 1992.  Spangler was the party’s nominee against former Rep. Merle Kearns in 2004, capturing 40% of the vote.  The winner faces appointed Rep. Ross McGregor (R-Springfield) in this swing district.  A Henry vs. McGregor race would likely be one of the year’s most closely watched House campaigns

House District 73 (Democrats) ­ Looking to follow term-limited Rep. Bill Hartnett (D-Mansfield) are Jay Goyal (D-Mansfield) and Ellen Haring (D-Mansfield).  Both are first-time candidates, but that’s about where the similarities end.  Goyal, 25, is the vice president of Goyal Industries, a small manufacturing company started by his father.  He has raised $59,000 ­ more than twice as much as Haring ­ much of it from a network of Asian Indian donors businessmen throughout Ohio.  Haring is a retired teacher that has been active in local community organizations.  The Haring surname is familiar to the residents of the area, as her husband’s family owns several businesses, including a real estate company.  Democrats will be counting on whichever candidate wins the primary to keep this swing seat in Democratic hands against Mansfield Republican Phil Holloway in November.

House District 74 (Republicans) ­ Four candidates are seeking to replace term-limited Rep. Steve Buehrer (R-Delta).  Former newspaper editor Marcus Bowling (R-Wauseon) is a slight favorite.  He is the only candidate from Defiance County, which is the largest county in the district and should account for about 40% of the primary vote.  Business owner David Swanson (R-Bryan) is the only candidate from Williams County, and he has dumped nearly $25,000 of his own money into the campaign.  But he has been hurt by the revelation that he is actually a registered Democrat and for admitting he voted for Kerry for President in 2004 ­ surprises certain not to go over well in this conservative Republican area that went almost 2-to-1 for Bush.  Bruce Goodwin (R-Defiance), a career educator, has some name recognition in Defiance County, where his wife is the County Auditor.  Jim Volkert (R-Hicksville), whose father is a former mayor of Hicksville, ran unsuccessfully for the GOP nomination for county commissioner in 2002 and is a real wild-card in this race: he has little support among party leaders, but is an effective speaker, has experience as a campaign consultant, and has committed $10,000 in personal money to his campaign.

House District 75 (Republicans) ­ The race may be a bit closer than might have been expected, but Paulding County Commissioner Tony Burkley (R-Paulding) poses no real threat to defeating Sen. Lynn Wachtmann (R-Napoleon).  After serving two terms in the Senate, Wachtmann will return to the House, replacing term-limited Rep. Jim Hoops (R-Napoleon).

House District 76 (Republicans) ­ Another race where the outcome isn’t really in doubt.  Expect teacher and former Findlay High School football coach Cliff Hite (R-Findlay) to handily defeat truck driver Jeremy Swartz (R-Findlay).  The GOP nominee is a safe bet in the General Election in this heavily Republican district where Rep. Mike Gilb (R-Findlay) is not seeking re-election.

House District 78 (Democrats) ­ Outgoing Rep. Derrick Seaver’s (R-Minster) former aide, Adam Ward (D-Urbana), is the favorite over two other candidates in the Democratic primary.  And, despite the district’s strong Republican tilt, Democrats believe Ward could be competitive in the General Election, particularly if the GOP nominee is John Adams (R-Sidney).  Ward, currently an employee of Citizens National Bank, must first defeat Jason Dorsey (D-Sidney), a 20-year old student at Edison Community College, and restaurant manager Thomas Matthew (D-Wapakoneta).

House District 78 (Republicans) ­ After a one-election cycle hiatus, John Adams (R-Sidney) is back as a candidate for the Ohio House.  The retail furniture store owner lost the GOP primary in 2000 and then came up short against Rep. Derrick Seaver (R-Minster) in 2002.  (Seaver was still a Democrat at the time.)  Adams’ chief rival in 2006 is Steve Hess (R-St. Paris), a farmer and Champaign County Commissioner; one of the two will undoubtedly capture the nomination.  Neither Ron Bennett (R-St. Paris), a training instructor at a food equipment manufacturer, nor Mike Galluzzo (R-St. Paris), who finished fifth out of five candidates and garnered only 246 votes in losing the nomination to Adams in 2002, are threats to win.

House District 79 (Republicans) ­ Not that Rep. Diana Fessler (R-New Carlisle) was ever in any real jeopardy, but the recent disclosure that her primary opponent, Joe Hartzell (R-Piqua), was twice convicted of driving under the influence probably sealed his fate.  The Dayton Daily News, which had previously endorsed Hartzell, even withdrew its recommendation.  Fessler will face a rematch with her 2004 opponent Dave Fisher (D-Tipp City) in November.  She won that race easily, 66%-34%.

House District 83 (Republicans) ­ Rep. Tony Core (R-Rushylvania) is being challenged in the GOP primary by Michael King (R-Caledonia), a student at the University of Cincinnati.  Core should cruise to victory.

House District 88 (Republicans) ­ If the most vulnerable incumbent in next week’s primary is Rep. Mike Mitchell (D-Columbus), second on the list is Rep. Danny Bubp (R-West Union).  Paul Hall (R-Williamsburg), the owner of a successful insurance agency, is trying to oust Bubp after just one term.  Hall is a former Brown County Republican Party chairman who might have been the favorite had he run two years ago when this seat was open.  Many are asking why he opted to wait.  (He says the timing wasn’t right for family reasons.)  To win now, however, he must take out an incumbent who has the support of the Ohio House Republican Campaign Committee and the formal endorsement of the Clermont County Republican Party.  About half of the votes cast in this primary will come from Clermont.

House District 91 (Republicans) ­ A three-way race in a four-county district with no apparent favorite.  Gary Burkholder (R-Pataskala), owner and president of NorthCoast Research, is an Etna Township Trustee who has twice ran unsuccessfully for Licking County Commissioner.  He also served two terms as a Republican State Central Committeeman and, as such, is the only candidate of the three to have appeared on the ballot in Hocking and Perry Counties.  Bill Hayes (R-Pataskala), an attorney in private practice, has raised the most money and appears to have the support of party regulars in Licking County.  Chuck Wellman (R-Circleville) is the president of Wellman Funeral Homes in Circleville and is making his first appearance on the ballot.  About one-third of the votes should come from Licking County, and Wellman is no doubt counting on Burkholder and Hayes to split those votes.  The obvious conclusion is that the race will be won or lost in Hocking and Perry Counties.

House District 92 (Democrats) ­ Athens City Councilwoman Debbie Phillips (D-Athens) and Mike Struble (D-Syracuse) of Meigs County.  Geography alone ­ around 70% of the votes cast in this primary will be cast by voters in Athens County ­ makes Phillips the favorite.

House District 99 (Republicans) ­ Bill Pikor (R-Thompson) and Donald Rogers (R-Kinsman) are seeking the right to challenge Rep. George Distel (D-Conneaut) in November.  Pikor, a self-employed manufacturer’s representative, was Distel’s ’04 opponent, losing 67%-33%.  Rogers is a machinist at Great Lakes Cheese.  While Pikor should again win the primary, his chances in the General Election this year won’t be any better.